Sida ku cad fariinta BarigaFruit, suuqa baradhada ee dalalka ay la socdaan portal (Ruushka, Ukrain, Belarus, Moldova, Poland iyo Georgia) waxaa ku jiray qandho laga bilaabo bilowgii xilli ciyaareedka 2021/22, mid walbana dhibaato u gaar ah.
Maanta, Ruushka ayaa weli ah hormuudka qiimaha, iyadoo celceliska qiimaha baradhada ee dalka uu gaaro 38 senti US halkii kg. Georgia iyo Belarus, celceliska qiimaha baradhada ayaa ka jaban 2 senti oo kaliya. Dhoofinta baradhada ee Georgia ilaa Ruushka ayaa mar hore joogsaday, iyo sahayda baradhada ee Belarus ee Ruushka waa dib u dhoofinta alaabta ka soo baxda Ukraine ama EU.
Moldova waxay iibisa baradhada qiimo jaban. Fikrad ahaan, dhoofinta baradhada ee dalkan ilaa Ruushka ayaa weli suurtagal ah, si kastaba ha ahaatee, hadda ma fududa in la ururiyo shixnadaha ganacsiga ee baradhada tayada loo baahan yahay ee dalka.
Qiimaha ugu hooseeya ayaa ku yaal Ukraine - halkan waxaad ka iibsan kartaa baradhada laba ama in ka badan oo ka hooseeya Ruushka, Georgia iyo Belarus. Waa waqtigii laga hadli lahaa dhoofinta baradhada ee Georgia. Bixinta baradhada ee Belarus ayaa hadda ku dhibban shuruudaha karantiil ee cusub, iyo sidoo kale dhibaatooyinka saadka. Sidoo kale way adag tahay in baradhada la siiyo wadamada EU-da sababtoo ah shuruudaha karantiil ee adag, iyo sidoo kale dhibaatooyinka tayada alaabta Yukreeniyaan. Iyo qiimaha EU (tusaale ahaan, Poland) hadda wax yar ayay ka sarreeyaan Ukraine.
Waxaa xiiso leh in la eego dhaqdhaqaaqa qiimaha baradhada toddobaadyadii la soo dhaafay ee dalalka la falanqeeyay ee Bariga Yurub. Waxay muujinaysaa sida dalalku ula tacaalaan yaraanta ama dheeraadka ah.
Inta badan oo dhan - 33% - tan iyo bilowgii Sebtembar, qiimaha baradhada ayaa kordhay Moldova, taas oo ka takhalustay wax soo saarka dheeraadka ah. Isla mar ahaantaana, 4-tii toddobaad ee la soo dhaafay, qiimaha baradhada ee dalkan ayaa ahaa mid deggan, taas oo macnaheedu yahay in sahayda iyo baahida ay isu dheelli tiran yihiin. Isla markaana, qiimuhu wax yar ayuu ka sarreeyaa sannadkii hore.
Belarus ayaa wax yar hoos u dhigtay qiimaha jumlada ee baradhada labadii bilood ee la soo dhaafay - celcelis ahaan, baradhadu waxay noqdeen kuwo la awoodi karo 4%. Si kastaba ha noqotee, haddii aan isbarbardhigno bilawga Sebtembar, markaa qiimaha baradhada ayaa weli ah 28% sare.
Ruushku waxa uu u muuqdaa in uu aad ugu guulaysanayo wax ka qabashada baradhada yaraanta, sababtoo ah qiimaha halkan ayaa hoos u dhacay 4% 8tii toddobaad ee la soo dhaafay iyo 21% labadii bilood ee la soo dhaafay. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, hadda baradhada ayaa halkan lagu iibiyaa 21% ka qaalisan bilowgii Sebtembar. Tanina maaha wax la yaab leh, maadaama aysan hadda jirin ilo baradho raqiis ah oo adduunka ah oo loogu talagalay Ruushka. Baradhada dalka Ruushka ayaa hadda la iibiyaa saddex jeer ka qaalisan isla wakhtigaas sanadka 2019-ka iyo hal jeer iyo badh ka qaalisan 2020-ka.
Qiimaha baradhada ee Georgia ayaa si tartiib tartiib ah u kordhaya. Maadaama ay horeba aad u sarreeyaan oo laba jeer ay ka sarreeyaan sannadkii hore, waxaa lagu soo gabagabeyn karaa in xilligii dhoofinta baradhada ee Georgia uu dhammaaday. Heerkan qiimaha, waddanku wuxuu bilaabi karaa xitaa soo dejinta.
Gudaha Poland, baradhada ayaa sidoo kale si firfircoon u kordheysa qiimihiisu, in kasta oo qiimuhu uu weli yahay mid hooseeya. Sida cad, waddanku hadda wuxuu si guul leh ula qabsanayaa wax-soo-saarka dheeraadka ah.
Ukraine, qiimaha baradhada ayaa sii socda inuu hoos u dhaco, taas oo muujinaysa dhibaatooyinka sii socda ee iibka alaabta. Geli suuqyada shisheeye adiga oo aan si weyn u hagaajin tayada baradhada warshadeeyayaashu ma awoodaan. Hadda beeralayda baradhada ee Ukraine waxay iibiyaan alaabtooda ku dhawaad laba jeer raqiis ah sidii caadiga ahayd muddadan sanadka ah.
Si loo saadaaliyo qiimaha baradhada oo leh heer sare oo suurtogal ah, waxaa lagama maarmaan ah in si joogto ah loo sameeyo falanqaynta suuqa aasaasiga ah. Shaqada noocan oo kale ah waxaa lagu fuliyaa Ukraine oo kaliya shirkadda APK-Ogaysiis: khudaarta iyo mirahasi kastaba ha ahaatee, saadaashani maaha mid guud.
Taas ka dib, khubarada Bariga Fruit, oo ka tarjumaysa rajada suuqa, waxay ku tiirsan yihiin macluumaadka la heli karo ee ku saabsan isbeddellada ganacsiga iyo daabacaadan ma bixiyaan saadaal, laakiin halkii rajada la isku daray ee ka qaybgalayaasha suuqa baradhada ee gobolka.
Marka, marka hore, oo ku saabsan meesha aad ka iibsan kartaa baradhada dalalka kuwa ay la kulmaan yaraanta alaabta, kuwaas oo Russia iyo Belarus?
Pakistan ayaa mar horeba bilowday goosashada dalag cusub oo baradho ah, laakiin kharashka saadka ayaa ah in xilligan aanay jirin wax macno ah oo la siinayo baradhada qaybta Yurub ee Ruushka iyo Belarus ee dalkan.
Iran waxa ay sidoo kale bilaabi doontaa in ay suuqa baradhada la gasho dalagga cusub horaanta Janaayo 2022, sida Masar oo kale. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, dalagga baradhada ee Masar sanadkan ayaa noqon doona mid aad uga hooseeya sidii caadiga ahayd, qiimuhuna waa horeba mid aad u sarreeya. Maadaama ay Masar tahay inta badan alaab-qeybiyaha baradhada ee Russia guga, qiimaha dalkani wuxuu noqon doonaa mid go'aamiya samaynta qiimaha ee Ruushka. Laga soo bilaabo tan, kaqeybgalayaasha suuqyadu waxay filayaan kor u kaca qiimaha baradhada ee Russia bisha Febraayo. Saadaasha la mid ah, siday u kala horreeyaan, waxay noqon doontaa Belarus.
By habka, gudaha Belarus waxaa jira sabab kale oo kor u kaca qiimaha baradhada - laga bilaabo Janaayo 1, 2022, soo dejinta baradhada, iyo sidoo kale khudaarta iyo miraha kale ee EU-da ee dalkan ayaa joojin doona. Intaa waxaa dheer, qiimaha baradhada ee dalkan waxay si toos ah ula xiriiraan qiimaha Ruushka.
Ukrain, kaydka baradhada ayaa ku filan, dhoofinta inta badan wadamada aduunka waa mid aan macquul ahayn ama aad u adag. Tani waxay soo jeedinaysaa rajada lagu haayo qiimaha baradhada heer aad u hooseeya.
Laakiin Moldova, kaydka baradhada ee tayada loo baahan yahay ayaa laga yaabaa inay ka hooseyso baahida suuqa ee xilliga jiilaalka-guga. Sidaa darteed, kaqeybgalayaal badan oo suuqa ka mid ah ayaa u janjeera suurtagalnimada kororka qiimaha baradhada ee dalkan. Muuqaalka kale ee xiisaha leh ee xilliga baradhada ayaa ah qiimaha sare ee baradhada abuurka ee dalalka gobolka. Baahida loo qabo way korodhay, laakiin sahaydii ayaa yaraatay.